At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude 14.6 North, longitude 59.4 West. The system is moving toward the west-northwest near 25 mph (41 km/h), and this general motion with some slight reduction in forward speed is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the system will move through the Leeward Islands on Wednesday, near or over the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico Wednesday night, and near or over Hispaniola on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is expected during the next 48 hours, and the system is forecast to become a tropical storm on Wednesday. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional
development, and a tropical storm is forecast to form on Wednesday.* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km) from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...* Puerto Rico, Vieques, Culebra* U.S. Virgin Islands* British Virgin Islands* Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Anguilla* Guadeloupe, Martinique, St. Martin, and St. Barthelemy* Saba and St. Eustatius* St. Maarten* Dominica* Dominican Republic from Punta Caucedo eastward to Cabo Engano and then westward along the northern coast to the Dominican Republic/Haiti border
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...* Dominican Republic from the southern Haiti border eastward toPunta Caucedo* Turks and Caicos Islands
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